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| Submitter's Name |
Joseph Park |
| Session Name |
Poster Session: Managing Water and Energy in a Transitioning Environment 1 |
| Category |
Managing water and energy in a transitioning environment |
| Poster Number |
313 |
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| Author(s) |
Joseph Park, SFWMD |
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Jayantha Obeysekera,
SFWMD |
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Michelle Irizarry-Ortiz, SFWMD |
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Florida Extreme Tidal Levels for Water Management Planning |
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Climate forced sea-level rise will impact coastal aquifer sustainability and management, and will also affect the performance and management of coastal drainage water control structures. Long-term consequences of these effects can be anticipated to a certain degree based on model analysis. A less scrutinized process are extreme events in coastal sea-level, which may have more of an impact in the near-term than mean sea-level rise, notably in low-elevation areas such as South Florida and the Gulf Coast. We analyze long-term tidal records at three Florida stations in order to extract statistics of extreme water levels. Correlations are assessed with respect to epoch and the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO), and probability distributions of the events are estimated. It is suggested that extreme event statistics for coastal sea-level should be incorporated into water management planning and forecasting. |
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