2nd UF Water Institute Symposium Abstract

Submitter's Name Joseph Park
Session Name Poster Session: Managing Water and Energy in a Transitioning Environment 1
Category Managing water and energy in a transitioning environment
Poster Number 313
Author(s) Joseph Park,  SFWMD
  Jayantha Obeysekera,  SFWMD
  Michelle Irizarry-Ortiz, SFWMD
  Florida Extreme Tidal Levels for Water Management Planning
  Climate forced sea-level rise will impact coastal aquifer sustainability and management, and will also affect the performance and management of coastal drainage water control structures. Long-term consequences of these effects can be anticipated to a certain degree based on model analysis. A less scrutinized process are extreme events in coastal sea-level, which may have more of an impact in the near-term than mean sea-level rise, notably in low-elevation areas such as South Florida and the Gulf Coast. We analyze long-term tidal records at three Florida stations in order to extract statistics of extreme water levels. Correlations are assessed with respect to epoch and the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO), and probability distributions of the events are estimated. It is suggested that extreme event statistics for coastal sea-level should be incorporated into water management planning and forecasting.